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The data behind that evolution is striking. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. ( Businessweek) Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. Preview of Spotify. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn Dive in and Share your insights! Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. The Gerrymandering Project - FiveThirtyEight Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. 10 Wednesday AM Reads - The Big Picture How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government 11:03 AM. This is the final episode. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. The Johnson & Johnson Pause Shows The System Is Working File Upload. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. Rules of the Game - discussing democratic institutions su Apple Podcasts I'm Galen Truk. Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. This Day In Esoteric Political History Radiotopia The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. FiveThirtyEight Politics | Podcast on Spotify Transcript of What The White House | Happy Scribe FiveThirtyEight Politics on Stitcher The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. 01:06 PM. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. 04:58 PM. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. 450 episodes. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. Local news is disappearing across the country. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions.